Card Rarity Probabilities
This guide goes over the probability checks for each rarity of cards based on what I've found in the code.
This Guide
So, you wanna know how rare that really cool and expensive card you just pulled actually is? Or are you here to find out what the rarest card is?
Either way, this guide goes over the probabilities for each card rarity and the steps the game takes to generate the cards!
Quick Note: when I say "rarity" I mean the border type. In the code, "rarity" refers to what card pack the card came from, eg Common, Rare, Epic, Legendary. Rarity is more fun to say than "border type" in my opinion.
Probabilty of Each Card Rarity
Here are the exact probabilities that the code gives for each rarity.
- Full Art: 1/400 (0.25%)
- EX: 1/100 (1%)
- Gold: 1/25 (4%)
- Silver: 1/12.5 (8%)
- First Edition: 1/5 (20%)
- Any Foil: 1/20 (5%)
(For each rarity, getting a foil is a 1/20 on top of it. For example, a Full Art Foil is a 1/400 to get a Full Art and then a 1/20 for that Full Art to be a Foil, giving a 1/8,000 or 0.0125% chance)
Here's How It Works
The moment you open a pack, the game will randomly generate 7 cards. Each card goes through the following process:
- Generate a random number between 0 and 10,000.
- Check if the number is lower than the set probability value for that rarity multiplied by 100. (There is a set value for each rarity, basically the chance out of 100)
- Repeat once for each rarity.
The first check is always to see if the card will be Foil (1/20).
From there, it'll check for the rarity. It'll check down from Full Art to First Edition. If it succeeds any, it will skip all other checks. If none succeed, it'll default to a Base Card.
The type of card pack does not affect the chances of each rarity. You get the same probability for Common Packs as you do Legendary Packs as you do any Destiny Packs (with the exception of Ghost Packs).
Another thing, there's no sign of any difference between Individual Card Packs and Box Card Packs (Cards from a Box Pack). All packs go through the same code to generate the 7 random cards and rarities.
And for all you statisticians out there, yes technically the probabilities are slightly different due to the fact a card has to first fail each rarity probability before it (aka to get an ex, the card has to fail a 1/400 and then succeed a 1/100, which is actually 399/400 * 1/100 = 399/40000 which is close enough to 1/100 anyways but not exactly). So if you wanna do those calculations yourself, be my guest. I ain't doing all that.
Ghost Packs and Ghost Cards
For those who don't know, there's a rare set of cards called Ghost Cards.
Each pack that you open has a random chance of being a Ghost Pack.
If you're opening a Tetramon pack, it's a 1/1,000 chance (0.1%) for it to be a Ghost Pack.
If you're opening a Destiny pack, it's a 1/500 chance (0.2%) for it to be a Ghost Pack.
If the check succeeds, the last card in a Ghost Pack will be a guaranteed Ghost Card.
There's a 50/50 for it to have a White or Black background and still a 1/20 for it to be a foil.
(A total of 1/20,000 (0.005%) chance for a Foil Ghost Card from a Tetramon Pack or a 1/10,000 (0.01%) from a Destiny Pack).
Note: all Ghost Cards are Legendary Full Art cards.
XP From Opening Cards
Did you know that the xp you gain from opening packs all depends on what rarity of cards you get? Well, here's the xp you get per rarity of cards:
Card Rarity | XP Gained |
---|---|
Base | 1 Exp |
First Edition | 2 Exp |
Silver | 6 Exp |
Gold | 8 Exp |
Base Foil | 8 Exp |
EX | 15 Exp |
First Edition Foil | 16 Exp |
Full Art | 18 Exp |
Ghost | 18 Exp |
Silver Foil | 48 Exp |
Gold Foil | 64 Exp |
EX Foil | 120 Exp |
Full Art Foil | 144 Exp |
Ghost Foil | 144 Exp |
Seeing How Many Packs You've Opened
As of now, there's no easy way to see how many card packs you've opened.
The best way I've found is by using a site called saveeditonline
- Open saveeditonline
- Locate your save file: C:\Users%userprofile%\AppData\LocalLow\OPNeonGames\Card Shop Simulator\savedGames_Release1.gd. (The 1 is the save file, you'll also have 2 or 3 if you've saved into them)
- Drag and drop or open in browser the save file. The website may say you can't open them but you definitely can.
- Search for: m_GameReportDataCollectPermanent > cardPackOpened
- The number next to it is how many packs you've opened!
Want To Listen Rather Than Read?
If you'd prefer listening to the explanation rather than reading it in plain text, feel free to watch this video by Keldor who basically goes over this guide very simply!
Source
This guide is based on information from the original source: Steam Community Guide.